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Friday, December 1, 2023
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Briefing|Rent or Buy?

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Newsletter


THE MORNING


RENT OR BUY?

We explain the state of the housing market.

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San Diego.Credit...Roger Kisby for The New York Times


By David Leonhardt

Dec. 1, 2023, 6:31 a.m. ET
You’re reading The Morning newsletter.  Make sense of the day’s news and ideas.
David Leonhardt and Times journalists guide you through what’s happening — and
why it matters. Get it sent to your inbox.

Should you rent or buy your next home?

It is a question that millions of people — especially younger adults who don’t
own a home — wrestle with. It’s also a subject that I have written about in The
Times for almost 20 years. Today, I want to revisit it, inspired by the interest
of my colleagues on The Daily, many of whom are millennials trying to figure out
what to do in their own lives.

(Today’s Daily episode is a discussion between Michael Barbaro and me about
renting versus buying.)

Now is a good moment to examine the question — because the answer is clearer
than usual. “This is not the time to buy for most people,” Mark Zandi, the chief
economist of Moody’s Analytics, told me. “Mortgage rates are extra high, and
house prices are extra high, and there’s not much to choose from in the market.”




WEEKLY AVERAGE 30-YEAR FIXED-RATE MORTGAGE

10%

Nov. 22,

2023

7.29%

8

6

4

2

1990

2000

2010

2020

10%

8

Nov. 22, 2023

7.29%

6

4

2

1990

2000

2010

2020

Source: Freddie Mac, FRED

By The New York Times


MONTHLY CHANGE IN HOME PRICES SINCE JANUARY 1987

Not adjusted for inflation

Sept.

2023

+386%

+400%

300

200

100

1990

2000

2010

2020

+400%

Sept. 2023

+386%

300

200

100

1990

2000

2010

2020

Source: Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, FRED

By The New York Times

Subscribe to The Times to read as many articles as you like.

David Leonhardt writes The Morning, The Times’s flagship daily newsletter. He
has previously been an Op-Ed columnist, Washington bureau chief, co-host of “The
Argument” podcast, founding editor of The Upshot section and a staff writer for
The Times Magazine. In 2011, he received the Pulitzer Prize for commentary. More
about David Leonhardt

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