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Latest News Home Election 2024


WEDNESDAY, MAY 29

 * Tuesday, May 28
 * Monday, May 27
 * Sunday, May 26
 * Saturday, May 25
 * Friday, May 24
 * Thursday, May 23
 * Wednesday, May 22

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What's Really Happening To Grocery Prices Right Now
Whizy Kim, Vox
Bidenomics Spin vs Grocery Store Reality
Newt Gingrich, FOX News
Why Are Trump and Biden Afraid To Debate Kennedy?
Adam Garrie, Substack
Guilty or Not, Trump Wins in 2024 No Matter What
Pete Seat, USA Today
The Three Barriers to Biden's Re-Election
David Dayen, The American Prospect
What’s the Matter With Libertarianism?
Derek Hunter, The Hill
Centrists Let the GOP Dismantle Women’s Rights
Max Burns, The Hill
Planned Non-Parenthood--The Truth
Robert Charles, AMAC



RCP AFTERNOON EDITION

2024 Battleground Grows & Tilts Toward Trump
J.T. Young, The American Spectator
Haley’s PA Voters Aren’t All Ready To Fall in Line Behind Trump
John King, CNN
Biden, Not Trump, Has the Abnormal Presidency
Michael Goodwin, New York Post
A Manhattan Canned Hunt
Jonathan Turley, The Hill
Red State Republicans Hack the System
Heather Parton, Salon
'Bidenbucks' Targets Felons in Get-Out-The-Vote Effort
M.D. Kittle, The Federalist
Justices on Both Sides Reject Modern Civil Asset Forfeiture
Jill Jacobson, RCP
Biden Was My Boss. I Resigned Over the Gaza Atrocity
Lily Greenberg Call, Guardian
Rafah Reminds Us of the Evils of Hamas
Brendan O'Neill, Spiked
Your Favorite Brand No Longer Cares About Being Woke
Michael Serazio, Vox
Caitlin Clark Doesn't Check the Left's PC Boxes
Anna Broussard, Washington Examiner
Virginia (Roanoke): Biden 40, Trump 38, Kennedy 8,Stein 3,West 1 | 2-Way: Tied


 


MORE FROM REAL CLEAR

Policy: Biden Rule May Cripple Offshore Oil Business - Pete McGinnis, RCPolicy
Podcast: Democrats 'Freak Out' Over Biden - Bevan, et al., RCP on SiriusXM
Books&Culture: The Search for Reciprocation - Sheluyang Peng, RealClearBooks
Life: What's in the Future for High-End Spirits? - Josh Sims, InsideHook
Sports: MLB Castoff Extends Record-Setting Streak - Evan Bleier




VIDEO

Biden: What Would Trump Have Done If Black Americans Stormed The Capitol On
January 6?

Kevin O'Leary: Trump Trial Has Done "A Lot Of Damage To The American Brand,"
Nobody Understands This Overseas
Buzzfeed
First Lady Jill Biden: "Those Polls Are Going To Turn," "Americans Are Going To
Choose Good Over Evil"
Buzzfeed
Comey on Trump: High Likelihood Of Conviction, Some Likelihood Of A Hung Jury,
Almost Zero Chance Of An Acquittal







RCP MORNING EDITION

How Tuned-Out Voters Could Decide 2024
Glueck & Corasaniti, New York Times
Trump's Bronx Rally Shows Future of GOP
Ryan Girdusky, The American Conservative
Trump Is Winning, But 4 Things Could Change That
Mark Penn, FOX News
Democrats' 'Freak Out' Over Biden
Bevan, Jashinsky & Walworth, RCP on SiriusXM
Judgment Day Looms for Trump in New York
Stephen Collinson, CNN
'Whatever They Can Get Trump for Is Fine With Me'
Byron York, Washington Examiner
De Niro Stumps for Biden: 'Trump Will End Democracy'
Philip Wegmann, RCP
The Slaughter in Rafah & Israel's Moral Nadir
Zack Beauchamp, Vox
Ireland, Spain & Norway Choose Death Over Dancing
Richard Porter, RealClearPolitics
Ukraine Depends on Our Long-Term Commitment
Eric Ciaramella, Foreign Affairs
America’s Declining Power & the Emerging Multipolar World
Christopher Roach, AG
What Does Success Look Like for Third-Party Candidates?
Zachary Wolf, CNN
Libertarians Should Vote for Trump
Walter Block, Wall Street Journal
Only One Constitution Can Survive
Ellmers & Anton, TomKlingenstein.com
How Gullible Do Samuel Alito & Mike Johnson Think We Are?
Dahlia Lithwick, Slate
Feds Blow Up Dems' Hunter Biden Laptop Scam
Rowan Scarborough, Washington Times
Gifted Programs Vanishing From Schools Is Bad for Kids
Kara Miller, Boston Globe
TDIH - May 29, 2024: Trump +1.1 | 2020: Biden +5.3 | 2016: Clinton +1.0




EDITORIALS

Biden's Courthouse Folly
Washington Examiner
Republicans Are Playing Ballot Games
New York Daily News
Iran’s Brisk Walk to a Nuclear Bomb
Wall Street Journal
Public School Families Deserve Better
Boston Globe




LATEST NEWS

 * U.S. Economy
   * Can Your Salary Buy Happiness?
   * Priced Out of Home Ownership--"It Makes Me Want To Throw Up"
   * Bifurcation Is the Word of the Summer on Wall Street
 * Biden Administration
   * Biden Received Sensitive Data Via His Private Pseudonym Email
   * House Report Finds Biden Policies Raise Energy Prices, Weaken Grid
 * Election 2024
   * "Dying Empire Led by Bad People": Poll Finds Young Voters Despairing
   * Report: Rubio Would Shed Florida Residency To Be Trump's VP
   * All the Latest 2024 Election Polls
 * Washington
   * Justice Alito Rejects Recusal Request From Sens. Durbin and Whitehouse
   * Trump Endorses John McGuire Over Rep. Good in VA-5 House Race
 * Battle for White House
   * 2-Way: Trump 47.5, Biden 46.3
   * Trump 41.2, Biden 39.4, Kennedy 10.6
   * Top Battlegrounds: Trump +3.1
   * More Polls: WA, SD, NH, MA, RI
   * RCP Map: Trump 312, Biden 226
   * Latest Odds: Trump 52%, Biden 36%
 * Battle for Congress
   * Senate Polls: WA, AZ, TN, FL, MN, NV
   * Map: GOP 49, Dems 42, Toss Up 9
   * House Vote: Dem 45.5, GOP 45.3
 * The REALCLEARPOLITICS PODCAST
   * 5/28: Dem Freakout Over Biden, Was Trump's Term Sabotaged?
   * 5/27: Memorial Day Tribute
 * CARL CANNON'S AM NOTE









POLITICAL LANDSCAPE


ARE WE TOO BEARISH ON TRUMP?



I think if you asked most analysts to publicly assess the presidential race,
they would say it is some form of a tossup. Maybe some would give Trump a 52%
chance of winning or some would give Biden a 51% chance, but most would be in
the range of a 50-50 outcome.I’m in that bucket as well, but I’m starting to
rethink the wisdom of my position. In particular, I’m wondering if there isn’t
som Read More


more from Political Landscape
 * GOP Rep. Byron Donalds: Very Diverse Crowd In The Bronx Has Seen The Biden
   Disaster And Wants Trump Back
 * "The Unknowns" Chats With Libertarian Presidential Candidate Chase Oliver:
   Will His Candidacy Help Trump or Biden?
 * The 'America First' Right Coalesces To Change Foreign Policy
 * Bubba: A Cancel-Culture Casualty--But Not in a Town Without Pity



BIDEN ADMINISTRATION


DE NIRO STUMPS FOR BIDEN OUTSIDE MANHATTAN COURTROOM



President Biden often argues that Donald Trump is a threat to democracy. He and
his campaign had not, however, said that reelecting Trump would end democracy
altogether. Until recently. Outside the Manhattan courtroom where the former
president was on trial, at a press conference organized by the Biden-Harris
campaign, actor Robert De Niro rhetorically ran ahead of Biden, making his dire
warning about the future of representative government explicit. Read More


more from Biden Administration
 * State Dept: ‘Atheism Grant’ May Have Been Misused
   
 * House Oversight Committee Probing Biden Voter Mobilization Order
   
 * Biden's Job Approval Rating Lower Than Bush, Obama, or Trump at This Point in
   His Term
   
 * Unredactions Reveal Early White House Involvement in Trump Documents Case
   


ANALYSIS & COMMENTARY


BERKOWITZ: CONFRONTING THE WOKE-LEFT AND JIHAD-ENTHUSIAST ALLIANCE



Following Hamas’ bloodthirsty Oct. 7 assault on Israel’s southern border
communities, woke leftists and jihad enthusiasts on campuses and beyond formed a
perplexing alliance. The left advocates social justice; celebrates diversity,
equity, and inclusion; and professes special concern for historically oppressed
minorities. Meanwhile, Gaza’s Iran-backed jihadists torture and kill based on
race Read More


more from Analysis & Commentary
 * Perron: Why Trump’s Trials Don’t Hurt Him in the Polls
   
 * Hammer: Are Democrats Stuck With Biden?
   
 * King: Most U.S. Pop Growth Last Year Occurred Outside of Largest Cities
   
 * Swett: Why I’m Skipping My 50th Reunion at Yale
   




TODAY'S TOPICS

 * U.S. Economy
   * Can Your Salary Buy Happiness?
   * Priced Out of Home Ownership--"It Makes Me Want To Throw Up"
   * Bifurcation Is the Word of the Summer on Wall Street
 * Biden Administration
   * Biden Received Sensitive Data Via His Private Pseudonym Email
   * House Report Finds Biden Policies Raise Energy Prices, Weaken Grid
 * Election 2024
   * "Dying Empire Led by Bad People": Poll Finds Young Voters Despairing
   * Report: Rubio Would Shed Florida Residency To Be Trump's VP
   * All the Latest 2024 Election Polls
 * Washington
   * Justice Alito Rejects Recusal Request From Sens. Durbin and Whitehouse
   * Trump Endorses John McGuire Over Rep. Good in VA-5 House Race
 * Battle for White House
   * 2-Way: Trump 47.5, Biden 46.3
   * Trump 41.2, Biden 39.4, Kennedy 10.6
   * Top Battlegrounds: Trump +3.1
   * More Polls: WA, SD, NH, MA, RI
   * RCP Map: Trump 312, Biden 226
   * Latest Odds: Trump 52%, Biden 36%
 * Battle for Congress
   * Senate Polls: WA, AZ, TN, FL, MN, NV
   * Map: GOP 49, Dems 42, Toss Up 9
   * House Vote: Dem 45.5, GOP 45.3
 * The REALCLEARPOLITICS PODCAST
   * 5/28: Dem Freakout Over Biden, Was Trump's Term Sabotaged?
   * 5/27: Memorial Day Tribute
 * CARL CANNON'S AM NOTE

 * Real Clear Politics
   * Events
     
   * RCP on Twitter
   * RCP on Facebook

Most Recent by RCP
 * De Niro Stumps for Biden: ‘Trump Will End Democracy’
   -Philip Wegmann
 * Are We Too Bearish on Trump?
   -Sean Trende
 * Confronting the Woke-Left and Jihad-Enthusiast Alliance
   -Peter Berkowitz
 * Hobbs Veto of China’s Organ-Harvesting Bill Spurs Questions
   -Susan Crabtree
 * The 'America First' Right Coalesces To Change Foreign Policy
   -Jonathan Draeger
 * State Dept: ‘Atheism Grant’ May Have Been Misused
   -Susan Crabtree

Our Writers

Tom Bevan
Carl M. Cannon
Susan Crabtree
Philip Wegmann
Sean Trende
A.B. Stoddard

 * Most Read
   * Last 24 Hours
   * 'Whatever They Can Get Trump for Is Fine With Me'
     - Byron York, Washington Examiner
   * 2024 Battleground Grows & Tilts Toward Trump
     - J.T. Young, The American Spectator
   * Trump Is Winning, But 4 Things Could Change That
     - Mark Penn, FOX News
   * Feds Blow Up Dems' Hunter Biden Laptop Scam
     - Rowan Scarborough, Washington Times
   * Last 7 Days
   * Trump Takes the Bronx, and Democrats Really Hated It
     - Byron York, DC Examiner
   * Is Biden Getting Ready To Step Down?
     - Henry Olsen, The Telegraph
   * 'Whatever They Can Get Trump for Is Fine With Me'
     - Byron York, Washington Examiner

 * 



 * 

RealClearPolitics Election 2024
RCP Poll Averages

Election 2024 Trump Biden Spread RCP Poll Average 47.6 46.7 Trump +0.9 5-Way RCP
Average 41.7 39.5 Trump +2.2 Top Battlegrounds 47.7 44.6 Trump +3.1

Electoral College Trump Biden Toss Ups RCP Electoral Map 219 215 104 No Toss Up
States 312 226  

Battlegrounds Trump Biden Spread Wisconsin 47.4 47.3 Trump +0.1 Arizona 47.8
43.8 Trump +4.0 Georgia 48.4 43.6 Trump +4.8 Michigan 47.1 46.6 Trump +0.5
Pennsylvania 47.8 45.5 Trump +2.3 North Carolina 47.5 42.7 Trump +4.8 Nevada
48.0 42.6 Trump +5.4

Battle for Congress GOP Dems U.S. Senate 49 42 9 TU Generic Ballot 45.3 45.1 GOP
+0.2

State of the Union Polling

President Job Approval Approve 40.5 Disapprove 56.2 Spread -15.7

Direction of Country Right Direction 24.1 Wrong Track 65.8 Spread -41.7

RCP Betting Averages

President Trump 51.7 Biden 35.7 Obama 3.4

Democrats Biden 84.2 Obama 5.8 Newsom 4.4

Republicans Trump 94.0 Haley 2.0 DeSantis 1.5






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