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 * Which Magnificent Seven Stock Is NOT a Buy After Earnings?

Meet Louis Navellier


WHICH MAGNIFICENT SEVEN STOCK IS NOT A BUY AFTER EARNINGS?

The answer might surprise you…

By Louis Navellier, Editor, Growth Investor Aug 8, 2024, 4:30 pm EDT August 8,
2024


Source: Shutterstock

I absolutely loathe the month of August.

Every year, Wall Street and Europe take an extended summer hiatus. So, not only
is there a lack of liquidity in the market, but the trading algorithms are also
left in charge of Wall Street. The combination can create “air pockets” and
leave the market more susceptible to manipulation.

Now, I had hoped this August would buck the typical market seasonality, as the
stock market tends to be better behaved during a presidential election year.
Candidates will promise everything and anything on the campaign trail, and that
tends to boost both consumer and investor confidence. In addition, strong
second-quarter earnings results and an upcoming key interest rate cut by the
Federal Reserve were also set to propel stocks higher.

Instead, the stock market kicked off the month of August with a temper tantrum.
The S&P 500, Dow and NASDAQ dropped 3.2%, 2.7% and 4.7%, respectively, in the
first two trading days of the month.

The selling then intensified on Monday because of the unwinding of the Japanese
yen carry trade. As I explained in Tuesday’s Market 360, a carry trade refers to
an investor borrowing in a currency with low interest rates and then reinvesting
in assets with higher yields.

In this case, investors had borrowed in yen due to Japan’s low interest rates
and invested in the U.S. dollar for currency appreciation and higher interest
rates. But when the Bank of Japan hiked key interest rates, the yen soared.

Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar weakened due to the latest economic data and
expectations for key interest rate cuts. The rise in the yen forced investors to
close out of their yen carry trades, which, in turn, knocked down the Japanese
stock market. Japan’s Nikkei 225 index fell 12.4% – its biggest one-day decline
since Black Monday of 1987.

The spike in the yen and the plunge in the Nikkei 225 triggered a global market
selloff on Monday. The Korean KOSPI Composite Index fell 9%… India’s S&P BSE
SENSEX and NIFTY 50 indices dropped 2.7% and 2.7%, respectively… and Bitcoin
sank 11%.

In the U.S., the Dow fell 2.6% and the S&P 500 dropped 3%. This was the Dow’s
and S&P 500’s biggest one-day declines since September 2022. Tech stocks were
also hit hard, as the NASDAQ plunged 3.4%. You can see the stock market
bloodbath in this heat map below:

Source: finviz

I should also add that the Magnificent Seven – Apple Inc. (AAPL), Amazon.com,
Inc. (AMZN), Meta Platforms, Inc. (META), Microsoft Corporation (MSFT), NVIDIA
Corporation (NVDA) and Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) – saw nearly $1 trillion in market
valuation erased on Monday.

But before this selloff occurred, Wall Street was laser-focused on the
Magnificent Seven’s earnings. We heard from Amazon, Apple, Meta Platforms and
Microsoft last week, so in today’s Market 360, let’s review their results. I’ll
also share if they’re good buys after earnings… and the market shockwave that
could send stocks spiraling next.




AMAZON.COM, INC. (AMZN) – THURSDAY, AUGUST 1

Amazon reported mixed results for its second quarter after the closing bell.
Earnings rose 94% year-over-year to $1.26 per share, up from earnings of $0.65
per share a year ago. This topped earnings estimates of $1.03 per share by
22.3%. Revenue increased 10.1% year-over-year to $147.9 billion, falling short
of expectations for $148.56 billion.

The company’s cloud segment, Amazon Web Services (AWS), reported $26.28 billion
in revenue, representing 19% growth from the year prior. This beat estimates for
$26.02 billion in revenue. Advertising revenue jumped 20% to $12.77 billion but
fell short of expectations for $13 billion.

Amazon also issued weak guidance for its third quarter. It expects third-quarter
operating income between $11.5 billion to $15 billion, lower than the consensus
estimate for $15.3 billion. Third-quarter revenue is forecast to be between $154
billion and $158.5 billion, or 8% to 11% year-over-year revenue growth.

Amazon also expects to continue to benefit from artificial intelligence demand.
Company management commented:

> As companies continue to modernize their infrastructure and move to the cloud,
> while also leveraging new Generative AI opportunities, AWS continues to be
> customers’ top choice as we have much broader functionality, superior security
> and operational performance, a larger partner ecosystem, and AI capabilities
> like SageMaker for model builders, Bedrock for those leveraging frontier
> models, Trainium for those where the cost of compute for training and
> inference matters, and Q for those wanting the most capable GenAI assistant
> for not just coding, but also software development and business integration.

And during the earnings call, CEO Andy Jassey was also optimistic about how AI
will impact the company:

> The reality right now is that while we’re investing a significant amount in
> the AI space and in infrastructure, we would like to have more capacity than
> we already have today… I mean, we have a lot of demand right now, and I think
> it’s going to be a very, very large business for us.


APPLE INC. (AAPL) – THURSDAY, AUGUST 1

After the market closed, Apple announced fiscal third-quarter earnings that
exceeded expectations. The company reported $1.40 earnings per share on $85.78
billion in revenue, or 11.11% year-over-year earnings growth and 4.9%
year-over-year revenue growth. Analysts were expecting $1.35 earnings per share
on $84.53 billion in revenue, so Apple reported a slight earnings and revenue
surprise.

Apple’s revenue was driven by iPhone sales, which accounted for 46% of the
company’s total sales during the quarter. iPhone revenue came in at $39.29
billion, just beating expectations for $38.81 billion. However, it represented a
nearly 1% year-over-year decline.

Apple’s Services division, which includes hardware warranties and subscriptions
like Apple TV+, reported $24.21 billion in sales, representing 14.1% growth from
the same quarter a year ago. This was slightly above analyst estimates calling
for $24.01 billion in revenue. Its Mac division reported $7 billion in sales, up
2.5% from the same quarter a year ago. Apple’s iPad division saw the biggest
increase, with sales rising 24% year-over-year to $7.16 billion. The strength
was due to the release of new, updated iPads for the first time since 2022.

Apple CEO Tim Cook also commented on AI in the earnings press release:

> During the quarter, we were excited to announce incredible updates to our
> software platforms at our Worldwide Developers Conference, including Apple
> Intelligence, a breakthrough personal intelligence system that puts powerful,
> private generative AI models at the core of iPhone, iPad, and Mac.


META PLATFORMS, INC. (META) – WEDNESDAY, JULY 31

Meta Platforms announced better-than-expected results for its second quarter
after the market closed. Earnings climbed 73.2% year-over-year to $5.16 per
share, up from earnings of $2.98 per share a year ago. Revenue rose 22%
year-over-year to $39.07 billion revenue – Meta’s fourth-straight quarter of
growth that exceeded 20%. Analysts expected $4.73 earnings per share on $38.31
billion in revenue, so the company posted a 9.1% earnings surprise and a 2%
revenue surprise.

Meta’s ad impressions (whenever an ad appears on a screen for the first time)
increased 10% year-over-year across its apps including Facebook and Instagram.
The average price per ad also rose 10%. In addition, Meta saw about a 7%
increase in 3.27 billion daily active people (DAP), up from 3.07 billion a year
ago.

During the earnings call, CEO Mark Zuckerberg noted that AI is giving Meta a
more competitive edge in its digital advertising market. He also says:

> The ways that it’s improving recommendations and helping people find better
> content, as well as making the advertising experiences more effective, I think
> there’s a lot of upside there… Those are already products that are at scale.
> The AI work that we’re doing is going to improve that. Looking ahead, Meta
> expects third-quarter revenue to be between $38.5 billion and $41 billion,
> topping estimates for $39.1 billion.


MICROSOFT CORPORATION (MSFT) – TUESDAY, JULY 30

Microsoft achieved solid results in its fourth quarter in fiscal year 2024.
Revenue grew 15% year-over-year to $64.7 billion, topping estimates for $64.39
billion. Intelligent cloud revenue totaled $28.5 billion, while personal
computing revenue accounted for $15.9 billion.

Fourth-quarter earnings rose 10% year-over-year to $22.0 billion, or $2.95 per
share. Analysts expected earnings of $2.93 per share.

However, Microsoft’s AI business, namely Azure Cloud, came in just shy of
expectations. Azure Cloud revenue rose 29%, below expectations for a 31%
increase. Sales in their AI-cloud division of $28.5 billion were short of
analysts’ estimates for $28.7 billion, according to FactSet.

Looking ahead to the next quarter, Microsoft anticipates Azure revenue growth to
be between 28% and 29%.

In the earnings call, CFO Amy Hood explains that Microsoft has partnered with
third parties to get its AI back where it should be:

> We are constrained on AI capacity, and because of that, we’ve… signed up with
> third parties to help us… You do see us investing a lot in build so we can get
> back to a more balanced place.

I should also add that for Microsoft’s fiscal year 2024, it reported total
revenue of $245.1 billion and earnings of $88.1 billion, or $11.80 per share.
That represented 16% annual revenue growth and 22% annual earnings growth. The
consensus estimate called for full-year revenue of $244.94 billion and earnings
of $11.80 per share.


THE STOCK TO AVOID IS…

With the exception of META, which soared 6% on Thursday in the wake of its
earnings results, the other Magnificent Seven trended lower following their
quarterly reports. Apple was also hit by news that Warren Buffett had sold
almost half of his stake in Apple.

Of course, a dip in stock price can also represent a good buying opportunity.
So, are these Magnificent Seven stocks good buys after earnings? Let’s see what
my Portfolio Grader says.

Apple, Meta and Microsoft all receive a B-rating, which makes them a Buy.
However, Amazon earns a C-rating, which makes it a Hold. I should also note that
it is the only stock that holds a C-rating for its Quantitative Grade, which
tells us that institutional buying pressure is dwindling.


THE NEXT SHOCKWAVE SET TO HIT THE MARKETS

While the market is calming down a bit now, there is another event that could
shock the markets. It’s so serious that I call it a financial tsunami.

When this tidal wave makes landfall, its impact will be more violent and more
severe than any financial crisis we’ve ever seen. And this financial tsunami
that’s set to wreck our economy is due to one sector: artificial intelligence.

So, how can you survive?

Some might think the best way to survive this tsunami is by moving off the grid
or buying gold. But the reality is the way to protect yourself is by investing.
Owning stock in world-class companies has always been – and will continue to be
– an essential stronghold in times of technological change.

So, it’s time to go stock picking – and I have found nine world-class AI- and
quantum computing-related stocks that are great buys now.

Click here to learn how you can access this exclusive portfolio of stocks.

(Already a Growth Investor subscriber? Click here to log in to the members-only
website.)

Sincerely,

Louis Navellier

Editor, Market 360

The Editor hereby discloses that as of the date of this email, the Editor,
directly or indirectly, owns the following securities that are the subject of
the commentary, analysis, opinions, advice, or recommendations in, or which are
otherwise mentioned in, the essay set forth below:

Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) and NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA)

Submit



Louis Navellier Editor, Market 360


MEET LOUIS NAVELLIER

Louis Navellier is one of Wall Street’s renowned growth investors. Providing
investment advice to tens of thousands of investors for more than three decades,
he has earned a reputation as a savvy stock picker and unrivaled portfolio
manager.

Learn more about Louis

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Article printed from InvestorPlace Media,
https://investorplace.com/market360/2024/08/which-magnificent-seven-stock-is-not-a-buy-after-earnings/.

©2024 InvestorPlace Media, LLC


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