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Business News


UN: GLOBAL TRADE IS BEING DISRUPTED BY RED SEA ATTACKS, WAR IN UKRAINE AND LOW
WATER IN PANAMA CANAL


THE U.N. TRADE BODY SOUNDED AN ALARM THURSDAY THAT GLOBAL TRADE IS BEING
DISRUPTED BY ATTACKS IN THE RED SEA, THE WAR IN UKRAINE, AND LOW WATER LEVELS IN
THE PANAMA CANAL

By
Edith M. Lederer, Associated Press
PublishedJanuary 25, 2024


We may earn a commission from links on this page.

FILE - An army zodiac secures the entrance of the new section of the Suez Canal
in Ismailia, Egypt, on Aug. 6, 2015. China, the world’s biggest exporter, says
it is deeply concerned about tensions in the Red Sea that have upended global
trade by forcing many shippers to avoid the Suez Canal. (AP Photo/Amr Nabil,
File)Image: ASSOCIATED PRESS

UNITED NATIONS (AP) — The U.N. trade body sounded an alarm Thursday that global
trade is being disrupted by attacks in the Red Sea, the war in Ukraine, and low
water levels in the Panama Canal.

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Jan Hoffmann, a trade expert at the United Nations Conference on Trade and
Development known as UNCTAD, warned that shipping costs have already surged and
energy and food costs are being affected, raising inflation risks.

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Since attacks by Yemen’s Houthi rebels on ships in the Red Sea began in
November, he said, major players in the shipping industry have temporarily
halted using Egypt’s Suez Canal, a critical waterway connecting the
Mediterranean Sea to the Red Sea and a vital route for energy and cargo between
Asia and Europe.

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The Suez Canal handled 12% to 15% of global trade in 2023, but UNCTAD estimates
that the trade volume going through the waterway dropped by 42% over the last
two months, Hoffmann said.

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Since November, the Iranian-backed Houthis have launched at least 34 attacks on
shipping through the waterways leading to the Suez Canal. The Houthis, a Shiite
rebel group that has been at war with a Saudi-led coalition backing Yemen’s
exiled government since 2015, support the Palestinians and have vowed to keep
attacking until the Israel-Hamas war ends.



The United States and Britain have responded with strikes against Houthi
targets, but the rebels have kept up their attacks.

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Hoffmann, who heads the trade logistics branch at Geneva-based UNCTAD, told a
video press conference with U.N. reporters that the Houthi attacks are taking
place at a time when other major trade routes are under strain.

The nearly two-year war since Russia’s Feb. 24, 2022 invasion of Ukraine and
other geopolitical tensions have reshaped oil and grain trade routes i ncluding
through the Black Sea, he said.

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Compounding difficulties for shipping companies, Hoffmann said, severe drought
has dropped water levels in the Panama Canal to their lowest point in decades,
severely reducing the number and size of vessels that can transit through it.

Total transits through the Panama Canal in December were 36% lower than a year
ago, and 62% lower than two years ago, Hoffmann said.

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Ships carry around 80% of the goods in world trade, and the percentage is even
higher for developing countries, he said.

But the Red Sea crisis is causing significant disruptions in the shipment of
grains and other key commodities from Europe, Russia and Ukraine, leading to
increased costs for consumers and posing serious risks to global food security,
Hoffmann said.

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This is specially true in regions like East Africa, South Asia, Southeast Asia
and East Asia, which heavily rely on wheat imports from Europe and the Black Sea
area, he said.

Hoffmann said early data from 2024 show that over 300 container vessels, more
than 20% of global container capacity, were diverting or planning alternatives
to using the Suez Canal. Many are opting to go around the Cape of Good Hope in
Africa, a longer and more costly trip.

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Hoffmann said ships transporting liquified natural gas have stopped transiting
the Suez Canal altogether because of fears of an attack.

As for costs, he said, average container shipping spot rates from Shanghai have
gone up by 122% since early December, while rates from Shanghai to Europe went
up by 256% and rates to the U.S. west coast by 162%.


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“Here you see the global impact of the crisis, as ships are seeking alternative
routes, avoiding the Suez and the Panama Canal,” Hoffmann said.





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