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NOVEMBER 2023

INDO-PACIFIC BIDENOMICS: A NEW ECONOMIC ORDER


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ECONOMY

WHY IS THE EURASIAN ECONOMIC UNION BROKEN?

BY ELVIRA AIDARKHANOVA | NOVEMBER 23, 2023

The EAEU is largely ineffective in terms of economic cooperation and
integration, which are paradoxically its very reasons for being.

SECURITY

JAPAN’S INTERVENTION IN A TAIWAN CONTINGENCY: IT DEPENDS

BY WILLIAM CHOONG | NOVEMBER 24, 2023

How a conflict starts, and how the United States responds, would weigh heavily
into Tokyo's considerations.

DIPLOMACY

HOW CHINA LOST EUROPE

BY NICHOLAS BEQUELIN | NOVEMBER 23, 2023

China’s European diplomacy is on a losing streak. Both sides may come to regret
it.

ECONOMY

THE CAUTIONARY TALE OF GEORGIA’S FTA WITH CHINA 

BY MARADIA TSAAVA AND KATARINA BALETIĆ | NOVEMBER 22, 2023

If Georgia's experience is any indication, Serbian winemakers shouldn’t expect
much from the new free trade agreement with China.

POLITICS

AN INDONESIAN CONSTITUTIONAL COURT SCANDAL AND AN ELECTION IN JEOPARDY

BY AISYAH LLEWELLYN | NOVEMBER 21, 2023

An October 16 ruling by the Constitutional Court could reshape the upcoming
presidential contest, and even the future trajectory of Indonesian democracy.

ECONOMY

WHY IS THE EURASIAN ECONOMIC UNION BROKEN?

SECURITY

JAPAN’S INTERVENTION IN A TAIWAN CONTINGENCY: IT DEPENDS

DIPLOMACY

HOW CHINA LOST EUROPE



ECONOMY

THE CAUTIONARY TALE OF GEORGIA’S FTA WITH CHINA 

POLITICS

AN INDONESIAN CONSTITUTIONAL COURT SCANDAL AND AN ELECTION IN JEOPARDY

MORE

FEATURES

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LATEST STORIES

THE BJP TRIES ON A NEW IMAGE: CHAMPION OF ‘GOOD GOVERNANCE’

With state and national elections ahead, the party moves away from its
time-tested appeal to Hindu nationalism.

FIGHTING IN DISPUTED KASHMIR KILLS 5 INDIAN SOLDIERS AND 2 SUSPECTED MILITANTS

The gun battle was in a mountainous and forested area in Rajouri district near
the Line of Control.



AFGHAN EMBASSY IN NEW DELHI SAYS IT IS PERMANENTLY CLOSING

It is now up to the Indian government to decide whether to keep it shut or
consider alternatives, including handing it over to Taliban officials.

VIETNAM COMMUNIST PARTY CHIEF VOWS TO HASTEN ANTI-GRAFT CAMPAIGN

Nguyen Phu Thong's pledge came after last week's revelation of a gargantuan
$12.5 billion financial scandal involving a Ho Chi Minh City-based real estate
firm.




MOST READ

A SOUTH CHINA SEA CODE OF CONDUCT CANNOT BE BUILT ON A FOUNDATION OF BAD FAITH

There’s an obvious reason CoC talks haven’t progressed: China isn’t interested. 

WHAT DO US INDO-PACIFIC ALLIES THINK OF THE BIDEN-XI SUMMIT?

Views from Australia, Japan, the Philippines, South Korea, and Taiwan.



DOES INDIA HAVE AN ASSASSINATION PROGRAM?

While New Delhi denies any involvement in extraterritorial killings, mounting
body counts of anti-Indian militants overseas raise suspicions to the contrary.


Diplomat Risk Intelligence

The World’s Best Analysis on the Indo-Pacific

Diplomat Risk Intelligence offers you dedicated access to an exclusive network
of subject matter experts on geopolitical, security, economic, and political
trends covering the wider Asia-Pacific region.

Let's talk


RESEARCH NOTES

Published by Diplomat Risk Intelligence, Research Notes offer actionable insight
to strategic decision-makers seeking to understand political risk and economic
trends in Asia.

THE TUTIT CORRIDOR: TURKEY AND CHINA BID TO RETAIN EAST-WEST TRADE PREEMINENCE

POST-CONSUMERIST SENTIMENT AND LYING FLAT IN CHINA



INDONESIAN ENERGY POLICY AT A CROSSROADS



CHINA’S REAL ESTATE CRISIS MIGHT BE THE FIRST DOMINO IN AN ECONOMIC DISASTER



SOUTH KOREA HOUSING MARKET CRUNCH

CHINESE CENTRAL COMMITTEE PUBLISHES STRATEGY TO STIMULATE PRIVATE ECONOMY








MAGAZINE

NOVEMBER 2023

INDO-PACIFIC BIDENOMICS: A NEW ECONOMIC ORDER

HUN MANET’S CAMBODIA?

Manet’s path to security in power will be difficult, as he is forced to
carefully navigate the system his father built and, to a large degree, still
controls.

A FOOTBALL GAME AMID THE SORROWS OF LIFE ON THE KYRGYZ BORDER

On a hot summer day, the women of Kök-Tash took a break to play football. It was
a rare joy amid a difficult life on the border.



WHAT DOES NEPAL WANT FROM CHINA?

Pushpa Kamal Dahal’s September visit to China demonstrated a clear balancing of
aspirations and pragmatic realities, both on the domestic and international
fronts.

INDO-PACIFIC BIDEN­OMICS: THE EMERGENCE OF A NEW ECONOMIC ORDER

The upcoming APEC summit in San Francisco will be a visible culmination of the
work that has gone into making economic engagement the leading edge of
diplomacy.




BLOGS


CHINA POWER

A NEW WORLD ORDER

ARCTIC AMBITIONS: CHINA’S ENGAGEMENT WITH THE NORTHERN SEA ROUTE

As climate change makes the Arctic shipping route more feasible, China is
leaning in.

THE WEST SHOULDN’T FORGET CHINA’S PRO-RUSSIA NEUTRALITY

WHAT’S IN THE NEW AMENDMENTS TO CHINA’S STATE SECRETS LAW?

CAN XI JINPING ACHIEVE HIS AMBITIONS AFTER THE BIDEN-XI SUMMIT?


FLASHPOINTS

DIPLOMACY BY OTHER MEANS

UNREST IN THE MIDDLE EAST IS BAD FOR BOTH CPEC AND IMEC

As uncertainties deepen, what lies ahead for these dueling connectivity
projects?

CHINA IGNORES NORTH KOREA’S PROVOCATIONS AT ITS OWN RISK

INDIA-US 2+2 STRATEGIC DIALOGUE KEEPS INDO-PACIFIC IN FOCUS

A SOUTH CHINA SEA CODE OF CONDUCT CANNOT BE BUILT ON A FOUNDATION OF BAD FAITH




ASIA DEFENSE

MILITARIES OF THE ASIA-PACIFIC

MHI IS RIDING THE WAVE OF JAPAN’S BOOM IN DEFENSE SPENDING

Japan’s biggest defense firm expects annual sales from its defense business to
double by FY2026.

WHY DID PAKISTAN TEST ITS MIRV-CAPABLE ABABEEL MISSILE?

WHERE INDONESIA’S PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES STAND ON NATIONAL DEFENSE

UNLOCKING THE MINILATERAL PARADIGM FOR ASEAN MARITIME SECURITY COOPERATION




ASEAN BEAT

INSIGHTS INTO HALF A BILLION

VIETNAM COMMUNIST PARTY CHIEF VOWS TO HASTEN ANTI-GRAFT CAMPAIGN

Nguyen Phu Thong's pledge came after last week's revelation of a gargantuan
$12.5 billion financial scandal involving a Ho Chi Minh City-based real estate
firm.

UN EXPERT CALLS FOR REGIONAL ACTION ON ROHINGYA BOAT ARRIVALS

‘OPERATION 1027’: THE END OF THE BEGINNING OF MYANMAR’S SPRING REVOLUTION

IN CAMBODIA, FOREIGNERS CANNOT OWN LAND. OR CAN THEY?




THE PULSE

PERSPECTIVES ON SOUTH ASIA

THE BJP TRIES ON A NEW IMAGE: CHAMPION OF ‘GOOD GOVERNANCE’

With state and national elections ahead, the party moves away from its
time-tested appeal to Hindu nationalism.

FIGHTING IN DISPUTED KASHMIR KILLS 5 INDIAN SOLDIERS AND 2 SUSPECTED MILITANTS

AFGHAN EMBASSY IN NEW DELHI SAYS IT IS PERMANENTLY CLOSING

PROTESTS, CRACKDOWNS, BOYCOTT CALLS COMPLICATE BANGLADESH’S ELECTION SCENARIO


THE KOREAS

DIVIDED PENINSULA

SOUTH KOREA’S PRESIDENT GETS ROYAL WELCOME ON UK STATE VISIT

Yoon’s visit will focus on trade, technology, and defense, as London’s
“Indo-Pacific tilt” meets Seoul’s “global pivot state” ambitions.

SEOUL WARNS NORTH KOREA NOT TO LAUNCH SPY SATELLITE

SOUTH KOREA, US CLOSE RANKS ON GLOBAL ISSUES DURING BLINKEN VISIT

SOUTH KOREA’S RULING PEOPLE POWER PARTY GEARS UP FOR CHANGE AHEAD OF THE 2024
GENERAL ELECTION




TOKYO REPORT

NEWS FROM JAPAN

IS PRIME MINISTER KISHIDA LEADING JAPAN BY DEFAULT?

With plummeting approval ratings, Kishida's biggest strength seems to be that
there's no obvious candidate to replace him.

JAPAN’S ‘BALANCED’ POSITION ON PALESTINE FAILS TO IMPRESS 

THE ROLE OF MALAYSIA IN JAPAN’S NEW SECURITY STRATEGY

A MESSAGE TO KIM JONG UN FROM MOTHER OF JAPANESE GIRL ABDUCTED BY NORTH KOREA IN
1977


THE DEBATE

COMMENT AND OPINION

THE WORLD NEEDS TO CAPITALIZE ON THE GAINS OF MYANMAR’S OPERATION 1027

The military junta is teetering on the brink of collapse. A concerted push could
see it fall.

TALIBAN LEADERS GET MEDICAL TREATMENT ABROAD WHILE AFGHAN WOMEN AND CHILDREN
LACK BASIC CARE 

A NEW MYANMAR NEEDS A NEW (CRYPTO) CURRENCY

IT’S TIME FOR A NEW APPROACH TO PEACE AND RECONCILIATION IN AFGHANISTAN 




CROSSROADS ASIA

THE NEW SILK ROAD

MONGOLIA LAUNCHES A SHAKESPEARE-ESQUE PLAY IN LONDON 

“The Mongol Khan” will be the first Mongolian play performed abroad, furthering
emphasizing Mongolia's cultural diplomacy.

THE TRANSITION TO SUSTAINABLE HEATING IN CENTRAL ASIA IS CRITICAL AND ACHIEVABLE

KAZAKHSTAN’S FIRST GO AT DIRECT ELECTIONS OF DISTRICT MAYORS

WHAT’S BEHIND THE INCREASED DIPLOMATIC PUSH IN KAZAKHSTAN?




TRANS-PACIFIC VIEW

U.S. POLICY ON ASIA

THE LIMITS OF THE EXPANDING INDONESIA-US PARTNERSHIP

Despite their relationship upgrade, Indonesia won’t join the U.S. in countering
China.

CHINA-US RELATIONS AFTER THE BIDEN-XI SUMMIT: BEYOND STABILIZATION

BIDEN AVOIDS TRADE DEALS WHILE PROMISING A BETTER ECONOMIC RELATIONSHIP WITH
ASIA

BIDEN’S GOAL FOR XI MEETING: GET CHINA-US COMMUNICATIONS BACK TO NORMAL




PACIFIC MONEY

ECONOMY AND BUSINESS

INDONESIA’S COMING GEOTHERMAL BOOM

The country has long experience with geothermal energy, making it one of
Jakarta's preferred forms of renewable energy.

HOW THE ‘FAB 4’ CAN BRING CLARITY TO SEMICONDUCTOR SUPPLY CHAINS

CHINA’S HEAVY ECONOMIC LEGACY OF STATE OWNERSHIP AND CENTRAL PLANNING

IS VINFAST DESTINED TO BE THE NEXT PROTON?


OCEANIA

THE SOUTH PACIFIC

AFTER THE THAW, WHAT’S NEXT FOR AUSTRALIA AND CHINA?

Xi called the recent visit by Albanese  “a new starting point” but a new
starting point for what exactly?

APEC IS A MAJOR MISSED OPPORTUNITY FOR NEW ZEALAND’S NEW GOVERNMENT

AUSTRALIA AND TUVALU: THE COMPLEXITIES OF CLIMATE REFUGE

BOUGAINVILLE’S PRESIDENT TOROAMA GOES TO WASHINGTON




VIDEOS

ASIA ON VIDEO

IS ‘OPERATION 1027’ A GAME CHANGER FOR MYANMAR?

An interview with Yun Sun about the progress of the military offensive, and the
question of how China’s government is reacting to the conflict on its border.

THIS WEEK IN ASIA: NOVEMBER 17, 2023

CHINA’S VISION FOR AI TECHNOLOGY

THIS WEEK IN ASIA: NOVEMBER 10, 2023


PODCASTS

ASIA GEOPOLITICS

BIDEN MEETS XI IN SAN FRANCISCO: MANAGING COMPETITION

Are the United States and China entering a new, short-term detente, or will
unexpected crises derail things?

SOUTH CHINA SEA FLASHPOINTS: THE SECOND THOMAS SHOAL CRISIS

CENTRAL ASIAN STATES AND GREAT POWER GEOPOLITICS

WHY INDIA’S RELATIONS WITH CANADA ARE STRAINED




PHOTO ESSAYS

ASIA IN PICTURES

A LORRY RIDE WITH SINGAPORE’S MIGRANT WORKERS

Singapore is virtually the only remaining first-world country where it is legal
for migrant workers to be ferried on lorries, a vehicle designed for cargo
rather than passengers.

THE LIVES OF CHILDREN IN MYANMAR

INSIDE THE RESISTANCE CAMPS IN MYANMAR

ORANGE-CLAD MOVE FORWARD SUPPORTERS TURN OUT FOR PRIME MINISTERIAL VOTE








ECONOMY

VIETNAM COMMUNIST PARTY CHIEF VOWS TO HASTEN ANTI-GRAFT CAMPAIGN

IN CAMBODIA, FOREIGNERS CANNOT OWN LAND. OR CAN THEY?

UNREST IN THE MIDDLE EAST IS BAD FOR BOTH CPEC AND IMEC






SECURITY

FIGHTING IN DISPUTED KASHMIR KILLS 5 INDIAN SOLDIERS AND 2 SUSPECTED MILITANTS

JAPAN’S INTERVENTION IN A TAIWAN CONTINGENCY: IT DEPENDS

PAKISTAN’S NEW AFGHAN POLICY: ANOTHER DISASTER IN THE MAKING?






POLITICS

THE BJP TRIES ON A NEW IMAGE: CHAMPION OF ‘GOOD GOVERNANCE’

PROTESTS, CRACKDOWNS, BOYCOTT CALLS COMPLICATE BANGLADESH’S ELECTION SCENARIO

‘OPERATION 1027’: THE END OF THE BEGINNING OF MYANMAR’S SPRING REVOLUTION






DIPLOMACY

AFGHAN EMBASSY IN NEW DELHI SAYS IT IS PERMANENTLY CLOSING

THE WEST SHOULDN’T FORGET CHINA’S PRO-RUSSIA NEUTRALITY

HOW CHINA LOST EUROPE







ENVIRONMENT

INDIAN RESCUERS PREPARE TO DRILL TO REACH 40 WORKERS TRAPPED IN A TUNNEL

OFFSHORE WIND IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA: A COUNTER-SALAMI SLICING STRATEGY FOR
VIETNAM 

MASKS ARE BACK, CONSTRUCTION BANNED AND SCHOOLS SHUT AS TOXIC AIR ENGULFS NEW
DELHI






SOCIETY

UN EXPERT CALLS FOR REGIONAL ACTION ON ROHINGYA BOAT ARRIVALS

THAI CABINET APPROVES DRAFT LAW ON MARRIAGE EQUALITY

INDONESIA’S REFUGEES ARE JUST IN TRANSIT. WHAT HAPPENS IF THE BOATS KEEP COMING?






INTERVIEWS

CENTRAL ASIA FACES CHALLENGES AND SEES OPPORTUNITIES AMID COMPLEX GEOPOLITICAL
OUTLOOK

THE POLITICAL AIMS OF ‘XI JINPING THOUGHT’

CHINA-US TRADE AND DECOUPLING: ‘WE ARE IN UNCHARTED WATERS’






MULTIMEDIA

IS ‘OPERATION 1027’ A GAME CHANGER FOR MYANMAR?

BIDEN MEETS XI IN SAN FRANCISCO: MANAGING COMPETITION

THIS WEEK IN ASIA: NOVEMBER 17, 2023








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INDO-PACIFIC BIDENOMICS: A NEW ECONOMIC ORDER



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