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Issue 14 | February 2024February 2024 * Archive * Notes Subscribe * Home * Archive * Films * Authors * About * Notes on Progress * Books in Progress Meet Viktor Although Viktor Zhdanov's name is little known today, he spearheaded one of the greatest projects in history. Who was he and what did he do? Read more → Spotlight Issue 14 THE ROAD FROM SERFDOM Unwinding Russian serfdom took half a century. To eventually do it in the face of powerful opposition took a remarkable approach that let peasants vote themselves into freedom. Read more → Words by Samuel Watling COMPENSATING COMPASSION Words by Jason Hausenloy & Duncan McClements Too few people donate their organs, dead or alive. How can we make it easier to donate, but avoid the abuses that some fear from cash payments? Read more → Kidneys LIFE IN THE TIME OF ZIKA Words by Keller Scholl I was deliberately infected with Zika to test a vaccine. Human challenge trials like my one could save millions of lives by developing prophylactics more quickly. Read more → Zika HOW ISRAEL TURNED HOMEOWNERS INTO YIMBYS Words by Tal Alster Homeowners are often the biggest opponents of building new homes. An Israeli reform reversed this by making homeowners the main beneficiaries of development. Read more → Upzoning WHY WE STOPPED BUILDING CUT AND COVER Words by Brian Potter We used to dig up roads to put trains underneath – cheaply. Ever-better tunnel boring machines have made the disruption this causes unnecessary. Read more → Tunneling THE FUTURE OF SILK Words by Hiawatha Bray Silk is stronger than steel or kevlar. We are already using it to transport vaccines without cold chains and make automatically dissolving stitches. What else could it be used for? Read more → Silk THE PROMISE OF SGLT2 INHIBITORS Words by Natália Coelho Mendonça SGLT2, a protein in the kidney, takes glucose out of the urine and puts it in the blood. Blocking this reduces diabetes, heart disease, and kidney disease – but we’re not exactly sure why. Read more → Flozins View Issue 14 articles Spotlight Issue 13 HOW MATHEMATICS BUILT THE MODERN WORLD Mathematics was the cornerstone of the Industrial Revolution. A new paradigm of measurement and calculation, more than scientific discovery, built industry, modernity, and the world we inhabit today. Read more → Words by Bo Malmberg & Hannes Malmberg THE ASBESTOS TIMES Words by Mano Majumdar Asbestos was a miracle material, virtually impervious to fire. But as we fixed city fires in other ways, we came to learn about its horrific downsides. Read more → Asbestos WATT LIES BENEATH Words by Tom Ough The earth’s core is hot. So hot, that if we drilled deep enough, we could power the world millions of times over with cheap, clean energy, supporting renewables when the wind isn’t blowing and the sun isn’t shining. But getting there is tough. Read more → Holes WAKING UP SCIENCE’S SLEEPING BEAUTIES Words by Ulkar Aghayeva Many scientific papers receive little attention initially but become highly cited years later. What groundbreaking discoveries might have already been made, and how can we uncover them faster? Read more → Secrets THE ENTREPRENEURIAL STATE Words by David Schönholzer War is hell. But by allowing more effective states to rule productive regions, it may have been a catalyst for Europe’s early modern advancement. Read more → War UPZONING NEW ZEALAND Words by Eleanor West & Marko Garlick New Zealand passed the most ambitious upzoning reforms in the world. Now comes the backlash. Read more → Upzoning THE COCKTAIL REVOLUTION Words by Peter Suderman Cocktails aren’t what they used to be – and that’s a good thing. The search for fresher and more novel ingredients from ever further afield continues to revolutionize mixology for the better. Read more → Cocktails View Issue 13 articles Spotlight Issue 12 WHY WE DIDN’T GET A MALARIA VACCINE SOONER Hundreds of thousands of people die from malaria each year, but it took 141 years to develop a vaccine for it. Advance market commitments could speed things up next time. Read more → Words by Saloni Dattani & Rachel Glennerster & Siddhartha Haria MAKING ARCHITECTURE EASY Words by Samuel Hughes Unlike nearly all other arts, architecture is inherently public and shared. That means that buildings should be designed to be agreeable – easy to like – not to be unpopular works of genius. Read more → Tonality GROWING THE GROWTH COALITION Words by Judge Glock Local government faces incentives just like everything else. If we want voters to encourage growth near them, we need to make it worth their while. Read more → Property tax THE DISCOVERY OF COPPER Words by Ed Conway Today’s world requires vastly more copper than you could imagine, and the world of electric vehicles will require even more. That means finding new ways to find and extract copper from the earth’s crust and oceans. Read more → Copper HOUSTON, WE HAVE A SOLUTION Words by Anya Martin Houston was notorious for its sprawl. But it has seen a gentle density revolution since the 1990s. Allowing neighborhoods to opt out of citywide reforms was crucial in its transformation. Read more → Texas HOW MEXICO BUILT A STATE Words by Robin Grier Building a state is not a matter of copying first world institutions. It is a tough process of deals and compromises. 19th century Mexico is a good example. Read more → Development UNDERSTANDING THE BABY BOOM Words by Anvar Sarygulov & Phoebe Arslanagic-Wakefield The West has been below replacement fertility once before. Then came the Baby Boom. Understanding that boom may help us deal with today’s bust. Read more → Babies View Issue 12 articles Spotlight Issue 11 OLIVINE WEATHERING Olivine is a green mineral that reacts with CO2 in the ocean to form a harmless silt. This reaction might be the key to slowing down climate change, or reversing it altogether. Read more → Words by Campbell Nilsen WHY BRITAIN DOESN’T BUILD Words by Samuel Watling The history of attempts to reform planning in Britain is proof that political willpower is not enough: you need to be smart, not just brave. Read more → Housing THOMAS EDISON, TINKERER Words by Eric Gilliam Thomas Edison is often accused of not having invented the things he gets credit for. He did something even harder: he built the systems needed to get them to market. Read more → Invention HOW DC DENSIFIED Words by Emily Hamilton Washington, DC, has avoided the worst price rises that have plagued many other growing American cities. Arlington’s transit-oriented development might be the reason. Read more → Density TAMING THE STARS Words by John Myers Cheap, safe nuclear power is possible, but is all but prohibited in most Western countries. A regulatory sandbox for fission could shake us out of our regulatory sclerosis. Read more → Fission THE END OF ACID RAIN Words by Hannah Ritchie Ending acid rain was one of humanity’s greatest environmental successes. Here’s how it happened. Read more → Rain EVERY GRAIN OF RICE Words by Niko McCarty As climate change threatens crop yields, we need a second Green Revolution – one that, this time, is driven by genetic engineering. Read more → GMOs View Issue 11 articles Maintenance: Of Everything by Stewart Brand The End of Combustion Vehicles New section out now Read more Film Gentle Density Gentle Density Reconciling beauty and density Episode 1: BrooklynEpisode 1: Brooklyn Watch nowWatch → Watch now Spotlight Issue 10 FRANCE’S BABY BUST France was once Europe’s superpower, thanks above all to its enormous population. Its decline coincided with a collapse in its birth rate – now we know why. Read more → Words by Guillaume Blanc ON THE ORIGINS OF EMPATHY FOR OTHER SPECIES Words by Cody Moser We’ve learnt to see the world through the eyes of our prey. All the better to eat them with. Read more → Evolution BUILDING BACK FASTER Words by Sam Dumitriu Building infrastructure doesn’t need to come at the cost of the environment. But it does need smarter rules. Read more → Environment EVERY GENERATOR IS A POLICY FAILURE Words by Lauren Gilbert Power outages force businesses across Africa to rely on expensive, dirty diesel generators. Price caps block improvement, but removing them isn’t easy. Read more → Electricity THE MOST DANGEROUS SUBSTANCE KNOWN TO MAN Words by Jack Devanney We have learned to fear plutonium – one of the world’s most useful materials. But as long as you don’t eat it, you’re probably safe. Read more → Energy PLASTIC ROADS Words by Zach Caceres Plastic is eating the roads. It might be a cleaner, quieter, ready-made alternative to asphalt for the next generation of paving. Read more → Technology MARKETS IN FACT-CHECKING Words by Matthew Feeney Exposing misinformation online is hard to do at scale and can veer into outright censorship. The wisdom of crowds can lead us to the answers. Read more → Prediction markets View Issue 10 articles Film ARIA A look at Britain’s new DARPA ARIA: Betting on scienceARIA: Betting on science Watch nowWatch → Watch now Spotlight Issue 09 THE STORY OF VACCINATECA Nobody had a plan to get vaccines out of freezers and into Americans’ arms–except VaccinateCA. Its CEO tells the story of how a small team brought order to a chaotic rollout. Read more → Words by Patrick McKenzie (patio11) DEVELOPING THE SCIENCE OF SCIENCE Words by Heidi Williams & Paul Niehaus International development was revolutionized by experiments and evaluations of its methods. Meta-science can learn from it. Read more → Economics PANDEMIC PREVENTION AS FIRE-FIGHTING Words by Richard Williamson Fire has almost disappeared as a cause of death in the developed world. A similar approach could do the same for infectious diseases. Read more → Science ADVANCING ANTIVENOM Words by Mathias Kirk Bonde Snakebites kill between 80,000 and 140,000 people every year. Better antivenom should be a high priority – thankfully new technology can help. Read more → Science HISTORY IS IN THE MAKING Words by Stephen Davies Though we tend to see history as just one political event after another, it’s technology and ideas, not politics, that change our lives the most. History should reflect that. Read more → Culture AI FROM SUPERINTELLIGENCE TO CHATGPT Words by Séb Krier Breakthroughs in artificial intelligence are forcing skeptics to eat their words. We should take its risks seriously too. Read more → Science THE ELEMENTS OF SCIENTIFIC STYLE Words by Étienne Fortier-Dubois Scientific papers are dense, jargon-filled, and painful to read. It wasn’t always this way – and it doesn’t have to be. Read more → Science View Issue 09 articles Special Issue 01 October 2022 Lost in Stagnation ANTI-GROWTH SAFETYISM Words by Ryan Murphy & Colin O’Reilly Is a build up of generic regulations together causing us to be three times poorer than we need to be? Probably not. But the insidious rise of risk aversion is still a big drag on economic growth. Read more → Economics INTERVIEW: J. STORRS HALL ON GETTING LOST IN STAGNATION Words by Tamara Winter Stripe Press’s Tamara Winter sits down with J. Storrs Hall, whose book ‘Where is My Flying Car’ inspired this issue, to talk about stagnation and the possibility of progress. Read more → Culture MAKING ENERGY TOO CHEAP TO METER Words by Benjamin Reinhardt The great slowdown began when we started rationing energy. Restarting progress means getting energy that is so abundant that it’s almost free. Read more → Culture NANOTECHNOLOGY’S SPRING Words by Eli Dourado Nanotechnology sometimes sounds as much like science fiction as artificial intelligence once did. But the problems holding it back seem solvable, and some of the answers may lie inside our own bodies. Read more → Science THERE WAS NO GREAT STAGNATION Words by Adam Hunt We may not have flying cars but we do have incredible information technology. We’re mismeasuring the huge benefits it is bringing. Read more → Economics PLANES, CLAIMS AND AUTOMOBILES Words by Brian Potter Americans famously love to sue one another. Are out of control product liability lawsuits the to blame for the crash of the personal aviation industry? Read more → Politics View all Special Issue 01 articles Film The Street Network A look at Cuba’s grassroots internet The Street Network (La Red Callejera)The Street Network (La Red Callejera) Watch nowWatch → Watch now Spotlight Issue 08 WE DON’T HAVE A HUNDRED BIASES, WE HAVE THE WRONG MODEL Behavioral economics has identified dozens of cognitive biases that stop us from acting ‘rationally’. But instead of building up a messier and messier picture of human behavior, we need a new model. Read more → Words by Jason Collins THE MAINTENANCE RACE Words by Stewart Brand The world’s first round-the-world solo yacht race was a thrilling and, for some, deadly contest. Its contestants’ efforts can teach us about the art of maintenance. Read more → Culture THE DECLINE AND FALL OF THE BRITISH ECONOMY Words by Davis Kedrosky When America’s economy overtook Britain’s a century ago, it remade the world order. How it happened is still debated. Read more → Economics REAL PEER REVIEW HAS NEVER BEEN TRIED Words by Saloni Dattani Outdated forms of peer review create bottlenecks that slow science. But in a world where research can now circulate rapidly on the Internet, we need to develop new ways to do science in public. Read more → Science RECLAIMING THE ROADS Words by Carlton Reid Until recently, roads were shared between a messy mix of cyclists, stagecoaches, carts, horses, and pedestrians, with no dominant user. Read more → Culture AGE OF THE BACTERIOPHAGE Words by Léa Zinsli Bacteriophages – viruses that infect bacterial cells – were almost forgotten in the age of antibiotics. Now as bacterial resistance grows, they may return to help us in our hour of need. Read more → Science View Issue 08 articles Spotlight Issue 07 LONDON’S LOST RINGWAYS A monstrous plan to build major motorways through some of London’s greatest neighborhoods fell apart. But the price was the birth of the NIMBY movement, and a permanent ceiling on Britain’s infrastructure ambitions. Read more → Words by Michael Dnes WHY INNOVATION PRIZES FAIL Words by Anton Howes History’s most famous innovation prize—the longitude rewards—is misunderstood. Innovation prizes are best at promoting refinements, not revolutions. Read more → Science LOCAL WARMING Words by Audrey Schulman Gas heating is bad for the environment. But home-built heat pumps aren’t perfect either. Read more → Science HOW POLYESTER BOUNCED BACK Words by Virginia Postrel Polyester went from being the world’s most hated fabrics to one of its favorites. It’s so successful that many people don’t even realize they’re wearing polyester today. Read more → Culture SCIENTIFIC SLOWDOWN IS NOT INEVITABLE Words by Ben Southwood Some think of advances in science and technology through the metaphor of low-hanging fruit: we “picked” the easy ones, and the rest will be very difficult. Read more → Science WHY WE DUEL Words by William Buckner Duels can be brutal and even lethal. But duels emerged in societies around the world for an important reason: to control and manage violence, not just to celebrate it. Read more → Culture View Issue 07 articles Spotlight Issue 06 WOMB FOR IMPROVEMENT Pregnancy can be arduous, painful and for some women impossible. New technology may allow more women to have children, and save the lives of more prematurely born infants. How do we get there? Read more → Words by Aria Babu WHY IRELAND’S HOUSING BUBBLE BURST Words by Ronan Lyons Ireland’s housing bubble and bust has become emblematic of what not to do in housing debates around the world. The only problem is nobody agrees what actually went wrong. Read more → Economics WHY SKYSCRAPERS ARE SO SHORT Words by Brian Potter The height of skyscrapers is limited by physical, economic and regulatory barriers, but we should want to overcome them and build taller. Here’s how we can do it. Read more → Economics PARENTING AS A PUBLIC GOOD Words by Ellen Pasternack Society has free-ridden on women for millennia, benefiting from the children they’ve had while bearing few of the costs. But as women have gained other options, birth rates have fallen. Read more → Culture AGAINST THE SURVIVAL OF THE PRETTIEST Words by Samuel Hughes Many modern buildings put up today seem uglier than traditional ones around them. Some say this is because we’ve torn down the ugly old buildings, and only see the survivors. Are they right? Read more → Culture WHO CARES ABOUT PLAGIARISM? Words by Stuart Ritchie Plagiarism is unforgivable in academia but it’s not plagiarism itself that should trouble us. It’s carelessness and a lack of originality. Read more → Science View Issue 06 articles Spotlight Issue 05 THE HOUSING THEORY OF EVERYTHING Western housing shortages do not just prevent many from ever affording their own home. They also drive inequality, climate change, low productivity growth, obesity, and even falling fertility rates. Read more → Words by John Myers & Sam Bowman & Ben Southwood NATALISM FOR PROGRESSIVES Words by Jeremy Driver Without new humans, growth will slow, and we will be less likely to reach the stars. But pro-natalism has been captured by a range of unsavoury voices. There is an alternative. Read more → Culture HOW TRUST UNDERMINES SCIENCE Words by Sarah Perry Our success is based on scientific discovery, so it’s not surprising how much faith we put into it. But we now trust science so implicitly that our trust undermines the institution itself. Read more → Science BETTER EATS Words by Nick Whitaker The kitchen of 2020 looks mostly the same as that of 1960. But what we do in it has changed dramatically, almost entirely for the better—due to a culture of culinary innovation. Read more → Culture BUYERS OF FIRST RESORT Words by Neil Hacker How do technologies get off the ground? As well as seed funding, many of the best technologies require Buyers of First Resort, which buy products until they improve enough to get to efficient scale. Read more → Economics THE FUTURE OF WEIGHT LOSS Words by Stephan J. Guyenet We have eradicated smallpox, cured many bacterial diseases, and invented a vaccine for Covid-19 within the year. But for a very long time we haven’t had a single good treatment for obesity. Read more → Science ASTEROID SPOTTING Words by Tom Chivers Could an asteroid wipe out human civilisation like it may have eliminated the dinosaurs? Big asteroids come along extremely rarely and our monitoring systems are effective and well funded. Read more → Science View Issue 05 articles Spotlight Issue 04 HOW WE FIXED THE OZONE LAYER The story behind humanity’s greatest environmental success is too rarely told and too often taken for granted. This is how humanity fixed the ozone layer and why it matters. Read more → Words by Hannah Ritchie WHY DIDN’T SUICIDES RISE DURING COVID? Words by Scott Alexander Covid-19 brought death, suffering and financial straits, so it was unsurprising that depression rose around the world. But when the data came in, we found suicide did not – and it’s a mystery why. Read more → Culture WHY TESLA BOUGHT BITCOIN Words by Andrea O’Sullivan Everybody loves to hate Bitcoin. Yet big business is spending hundreds of millions on it, helping to drive the price higher and higher. It’s easy to dismiss that as a marketing fad. Read more → Culture BURYING THE LEAD Words by Sue Márquez Researchers have known for decades that lead poisoning damages brains and worsens crime, but millions of Americans still drink contaminated water every day. Here’s how we can fix that. Read more → Politics THIS IS WHAT PEAK CULTURE LOOKS LIKE Words by Ryan Murphy Is the popularity of the Marvel Cinematic Universe a sign of art in decline? It’s common for people to assert that film, art, music and literature are getting worse. This is why they’re wrong. Read more → Culture INTERVIEW: TED NORDHAUS ON ECOMODERNISM Words by Nick Whitaker & Saloni Dattani Are technology and the environment friends or foes? In this wide-ranging conversation, we discuss climate policy, activism and ecomodernism with Ted Nordhaus. Read more → Politics WE DON’T KNOW HOW TO FIX SCIENCE Words by José Luis Ricón The conversation around science is full of ideas for reform, but how do we know which ones will be effective? To find out what works, we need to apply the scientific method to science itself. Read more → Science View Issue 04 articles Spotlight Issue 03 THE GREAT REINFORCER Alongside all the successes of science in the Covid era, the pandemic has also sparked an outbreak of viral misinformation and sloppy research, revealing the glaring flaws in our scientific system. Read more → Words by Stuart Ritchie THE SPEED OF SCIENCE Words by Saloni Dattani & Nathaniel Bechhofer Critics of scientific reform say that transparency comes at the cost of speed. What can disciplines learn from each other to break away from this crisis? Read more → Science HOW I LEARNED TO STOP WORRYING AND LOVE THE DEBT Words by Pedro Serôdio Protecting people’s health during the pandemic will increase debt, but the economic consensus is that we shouldn’t be concerned. Read more → Economics WHY TECH CANNOT ESCAPE EXPENSIVE HOUSING Words by John Kroencke As rental prices continue to climb in San Francisco, tech firms have looked to relocate in other cities. Without major housing reforms, the next Silicon Valley will face the same fate. Read more → Economics HOW COVID BROUGHT THE FUTURE BACK Words by Byrne Hobart Crises upend plans, force people to re-evaluate their priorities, and bring into focus new goals. Financial markets give us hints of what we can expect from the aftermath of Covid-19. Read more → Culture A PLACE IN THE SUN Words by Anya Martin While rents have been soaring for years in urban areas around the world, one Australian city has weathered the storm. What can the world learn from the experiences of Sydney? Read more → Economics WHAT AILS THE SOCIAL SCIENCES Words by Matt Clancy Bad incentives, muddled theory and no practical use. The condition of the social sciences has been blamed on a great variety of things; what’s really at fault and how do we know? Read more → Science View Issue 03 articles Spotlight Issue 02 THE DAILY GRIND Before grinding mills were invented, the preparation of flour for food was an arduous task largely carried out by women for hours every day. How did it affect their lives and why does it remain a tradition in some places even today? Read more → Words by Rachel Laudan IN PRAISE OF PASTICHE Words by Samuel Hughes Building traditionalist architecture today is derided as inauthentic pastiche. But this perspective turns a blind eye to the dramatic and sophisticated ways that design has been applied throughout history. Read more → Culture CLUSTERS RULE EVERYTHING AROUND ME Words by Caleb Watney Some of the greatest advances in technology have emerged from bringing intelligent people together to solve problems. How do tech clusters develop & how can we use them to replicate past successes? Read more → Economics SEEING ON THE FAR SIDE OF THE MOON Words by Eli Dourado Electrical interference has restricted what humans can observe with telescopes. To make leaps as a species, now’s the time for us to build a telescope on the far side of the moon. Read more → Science ESCAPING SCIENCE’S PARADOX Words by Stuart Buck Scientific research today is afflicted by poor reliability and low utility, despite the best efforts of individual researchers. Read more → Science INNOVATION IS NOT LINEAR Words by Jason Crawford Many have argued that innovation develops in a simple linear fashion – from research to experimentation to engineering. Read more → Science SECURING POSTERITY Words by Leopold Aschenbrenner New technologies can be dangerous, threatening the very survival of humanity. Is economic growth inherently risky, and how do we maximize the chances of a flourishing future? Read more → Economics INTERVIEW: MIKE SOLANA ON TECH AND ITS CRITICS Words by Nick Whitaker In spite of major technological progress, tech is often envisioned in the media with pessimism and dread. Read more → Culture View Issue 02 articles Spotlight Issue 01 EPIDEMIC DISEASE AND THE STATE Western democracies appear to have floundered in their responses to Covid-19. Is there a relationship between health and freedom, and can it be unraveled? Read more → Words by Mark Koyama BUILD STATE CAPACITY BY BUILDING CHARTER CITIES Words by Mark Lutter & Jeffrey Mason Many low-income countries are unable to provide effective governance for their citizens, trapped in a cycle of slow growth and persistent corruption. Charter cities may provide an answer. Read more → Politics PRACTICAL VEGANISM Words by Diana Fleischman Polls show that the majority of Americans want to reduce their consumption of meat, but many struggle to do so. Read more → Culture THE EVOLUTION OF PSYCHIATRY Words by Adam Hunt Modern psychiatry appears to be at a standstill, wanting for better treatment and a substantive theoretical framework. Evolutionary theory has the potential to reinvigorate the field. Read more → Science HOW TO BUILD A STATE Words by Anton Howes Throughout history, states struggled to maintain power, having to rely on private agents and enforcers to fund themselves and govern their citizens. Read more → Economics THE RISE AND FALL OF THE INDUSTRIAL R&D LAB Words by Ben Southwood For a time in recent history, R&D labs seemed to exist in a golden age of innovation and productivity. But this period vanished as swiftly as it came to be. Read more → Economics View Issue 01 articles View all issues Our complete archive View all films Documentaries, series, and more Contact ↑ Back to top Email hello@worksinprogress.co Subscribe * Subscribe * Click here to subscribe * Our privacy policy * Our cookie policy * Ethics & standards Works in Progress © 2024 | Designed by And–Now