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UKRAINE NUCLEAR SCENARIOS: BLACK ENOUGH FOR YOU?


A NUCLEAR STRIKE ON UKRAINE WOULD OPEN THE DOOR TO THE PIT; OUR READERS GUESSED
HOW MARKETS WOULD FARE, WITH SURPRISING RESULTS

 * 
 * * Tom Osborn
   * @TomOsborn
   * 03 Jan 2023

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This article is part of Risk.net’s series of crowdsourced scenario-generation
exercises. Click here to download a pdf of the full results.

Earlier editions of Risk.net’s scenario exercises have surprised participants
with the severity of some of the possible outcomes. In our latest – and bleakest
– scenario, the surprise for some is that the computed outcomes are so mild.

More than 50 readers joined the exercise, offering their take on stock index
levels, oil prices and bond yields in the

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