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https://finance.yahoo.com/news/the-coming-social-security-fight-could-be-1983-all-over-again-182418044.html
Submission: On May 21 via manual from US — Scanned from US
Submission: On May 21 via manual from US — Scanned from US
Form analysis 2 forms found in the DOM
Name: ybar_mod_searchbox_s — GET https://search.yahoo.com/search
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<div class="_yb_2e9l3r _yb_127z9g4"><button id="ybar-sbq-x" type="button" aria-label="Clear Search" class="_yb_a1oq17 _yb_29j0zi _yb_10kfzf8 finsrch-clear-btn modules-module_noDisplay__0NU79" data-ylk="sec:yb_search;subsec:assist;slk:clear;itc:1;"
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<div class="_yb_1tu7q41 _yb_1lzckhe"><button type="submit" id="ybar-search" class="rapid-noclick-resp _yb_e105dm finsrch-btn" aria-label="Search" value="Search"
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</svg></button></div> <input type="hidden" name="fr" value="finance" data-rapid_p="300" data-v9y="0"> <input type="hidden" name="fr2" value="p:finvsrp,m:sb" data-savalue="p:finvsrp,m:sa" data-modalsb="p:fin,m:sb,v:modal"
data-modalsa="p:fin,m:sa,v:modal" data-rapid_p="301" data-v9y="0">
<div class="finsrch-rslt finsrch-custom-rst finsrch-show-recomlst finsrch-show-ftr hidden modules-module_greenSrchRslt__Iemde modules-module_noDisplay__0NU79">
<div class="modules-module_resultsWrapper__YGfQD">
<div class="modules-module_resultsContainerRedesign__yG1rH" data-id="search-assist-input-sugglst"></div>
<footer data-id="search-assist-footer" class="modules-module_noDisplay__0NU79">
<p class="modules-module_tipMessage__ZQFev">Tip: Try a valid symbol or a specific company name for relevant results</p>
</footer>
</div>
<div data-id="search-assist-input-recomlst">
<div class="modules-module_sectionHeaderNoBrdr__j5DP2 ">
<h3 class="modules-module_sectionHeaderTitleLight__NrKIv">Trending Tickers</h3>
</div>
<ul role="listbox" class="modules-module_recPillList__VH0mw">
<li role="option" title="PANW" tabindex="0" data-type="recommend" data-id="result-recommend-0" data-test="srch-trd-sym" data-index="0" data-pindex="0" class="modules-module_recLinkItem__eEOpb modules-module_selectedBackground__6dnU7">
<div class="modules-module_recPillContainer__jDQx1">
<div class="modules-module_recPillDefaultLogo__QoEuV">P</div><span class="modules-module_recPillSymbol__mxoJP">PANW</span>
<div class="modules-module_recPriceContainer__fM8pf"><fin-streamer data-symbol="PANW" data-field="regularMarketPrice" data-trend="none" data-pricehint="2" value="305.805" active="">
<span>305.81</span>
</fin-streamer></div>
<div class="modules-module_recPercentContainer__0wUk2 modules-module_negative__zlMEC percentChangeWrapper">(<fin-streamer class="percentChange modules-module_arrows__x4-uX" data-symbol="PANW" data-field="regularMarketChangePercent"
data-trend="txt" data-pricehint="2" value="-5.548691" data-tstyle="default" active="">
<span class="modules-module_arrows__x4-uX">-5.55%</span>
</fin-streamer>)</div>
</div>
</li>
<li role="option" title="ETH-USD" tabindex="0" data-type="recommend" data-id="result-recommend-1" data-test="srch-trd-sym" data-index="1" data-pindex="1" class="modules-module_recLinkItem__eEOpb">
<div class="modules-module_recPillContainer__jDQx1">
<div class="modules-module_recPillDefaultLogo__QoEuV"><img loading="lazy" src="https://s2.coinmarketcap.com/static/img/coins/64x64/1027.png" alt="ETH-USD-logo" class="modules-module_recPillLogo__lI83F"></div><span
class="modules-module_recPillSymbol__mxoJP">ETH-USD</span>
<div class="modules-module_recPriceContainer__fM8pf"><fin-streamer data-symbol="ETH-USD" data-field="regularMarketPrice" data-trend="none" data-pricehint="2" value="3800.882" active="">
<span>3800.88</span>
</fin-streamer></div>
<div class="modules-module_recPercentContainer__0wUk2 modules-module_positive__gnzPV percentChangeWrapper">(<fin-streamer class="percentChange modules-module_arrows__x4-uX" data-symbol="ETH-USD" data-field="regularMarketChangePercent"
data-trend="txt" data-pricehint="2" value="23.007328" data-tstyle="default" active="">
<span class="modules-module_arrows__x4-uX">+23.01%</span>
</fin-streamer>)</div>
</div>
</li>
<li role="option" title="HIMS" tabindex="0" data-type="recommend" data-id="result-recommend-2" data-test="srch-trd-sym" data-index="2" data-pindex="2" class="modules-module_recLinkItem__eEOpb">
<div class="modules-module_recPillContainer__jDQx1">
<div class="modules-module_recPillDefaultLogo__QoEuV"><img loading="lazy" src="https://s.yimg.com/lb/brands/150x150_hims.png" alt="HIMS-logo" class="modules-module_recPillLogo__lI83F"></div><span
class="modules-module_recPillSymbol__mxoJP">HIMS</span>
<div class="modules-module_recPriceContainer__fM8pf"><fin-streamer data-symbol="HIMS" data-field="regularMarketPrice" data-trend="none" data-pricehint="2" value="18.175" active="">
<span>18.18</span>
</fin-streamer></div>
<div class="modules-module_recPercentContainer__0wUk2 modules-module_negative__zlMEC percentChangeWrapper">(<fin-streamer class="percentChange modules-module_arrows__x4-uX" data-symbol="HIMS" data-field="regularMarketChangePercent"
data-trend="txt" data-pricehint="2" value="-2.2849524" data-tstyle="default" active="">
<span class="modules-module_arrows__x4-uX">-2.28%</span>
</fin-streamer>)</div>
</div>
</li>
<li role="option" title="LOW" tabindex="0" data-type="recommend" data-id="result-recommend-3" data-test="srch-trd-sym" data-index="3" data-pindex="3" class="modules-module_recLinkItem__eEOpb">
<div class="modules-module_recPillContainer__jDQx1">
<div class="modules-module_recPillDefaultLogo__QoEuV"><img loading="lazy" src="https://s.yimg.com/lb/brands/150x150_lowes.png" alt="LOW-logo" class="modules-module_recPillLogo__lI83F"></div><span
class="modules-module_recPillSymbol__mxoJP">LOW</span>
<div class="modules-module_recPriceContainer__fM8pf"><fin-streamer data-symbol="LOW" data-field="regularMarketPrice" data-trend="none" data-pricehint="2" value="222.975" active="">
<span>222.97</span>
</fin-streamer></div>
<div class="modules-module_recPercentContainer__0wUk2 modules-module_negative__zlMEC percentChangeWrapper">(<fin-streamer class="percentChange modules-module_arrows__x4-uX" data-symbol="LOW" data-field="regularMarketChangePercent"
data-trend="txt" data-pricehint="2" value="-2.70323" data-tstyle="default" active="">
<span class="modules-module_arrows__x4-uX">-2.7%</span>
</fin-streamer>)</div>
</div>
</li>
<li role="option" title="BTC-USD" tabindex="0" data-type="recommend" data-id="result-recommend-4" data-test="srch-trd-sym" data-index="4" data-pindex="4" class="modules-module_recLinkItem__eEOpb">
<div class="modules-module_recPillContainer__jDQx1">
<div class="modules-module_recPillDefaultLogo__QoEuV"><img loading="lazy" src="https://s2.coinmarketcap.com/static/img/coins/64x64/1.png" alt="BTC-USD-logo" class="modules-module_recPillLogo__lI83F"></div><span
class="modules-module_recPillSymbol__mxoJP">BTC-USD</span>
<div class="modules-module_recPriceContainer__fM8pf"><fin-streamer data-symbol="BTC-USD" data-field="regularMarketPrice" data-trend="none" data-pricehint="2" value="70754.89" active="">
<span>70754.89</span>
</fin-streamer></div>
<div class="modules-module_recPercentContainer__0wUk2 modules-module_positive__gnzPV percentChangeWrapper">(<fin-streamer class="percentChange modules-module_arrows__x4-uX" data-symbol="BTC-USD" data-field="regularMarketChangePercent"
data-trend="txt" data-pricehint="2" value="5.5722256" data-tstyle="default" active="">
<span class="modules-module_arrows__x4-uX">+5.57%</span>
</fin-streamer>)</div>
</div>
</li>
</ul>
</div>
</div>
</form><form data-finsrch="quote" role="search" class="dock-srch svelte-zla0u7" fininit="">
<div class="icon fin-icon primary-icn sz-large tw-absolute !tw-inline-flex tw-top-3 tw-left-3 svelte-21xhfv"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" viewBox="0 0 24 24">
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</svg></div> <input aria-label="Quote Lookup" class="finsrch-inpt bg-dark inpt-placeholder-secondary svelte-zla0u7 rounded bordered" type="text" aria-autocomplete="both" aria-haspopup="false" autocapitalize="off" autocomplete="off"
autocorrect="off" placeholder="Quote Lookup" aria-activedescendant="" style="display: inline-block;" data-rapid_p="1" data-v9y="1"><button class="modules-module_clearBtnRedesign__iST6B rapid-noclick-resp modules-module_noDisplay__0NU79"
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<path
d="M24 1C11.3 1 1 11.3 1 24s10.3 23 23 23 23-10.3 23-23S36.7 1 24 1zm9.8 32.8c-.9.9-2.2.9-3.1 0L24 27l-6.8 6.8c-.9.9-2.2.9-3.1 0s-.9-2.2 0-3.1l6.8-6.8-6.7-6.7c-.9-.9-.9-2.2 0-3.1.9-.9 2.2-.9 3.1 0l6.7 6.7 6.7-6.7c.9-.9 2.2-.9 3.1 0 .9.9.9 2.2 0 3.1l-6.7 6.7 6.7 6.8c.9.9.9 2.3 0 3.1z">
</path>
</svg></button>
<div class="finsrch-rslt finsrch-custom-rst finsrch-show-recomlst svelte-zla0u7 finsrch-show-ftr modules-module_noDisplay__0NU79">
<div class="modules-module_resultsWrapper__YGfQD">
<div class="modules-module_resultsContainerRedesign__yG1rH" data-id="search-assist-input-sugglst"></div>
<footer data-id="search-assist-footer" class="modules-module_noDisplay__0NU79">
<p class="modules-module_tipMessage__ZQFev">Tip: Try a valid symbol or a specific company name for relevant results</p>
</footer>
</div>
<div data-id="search-assist-input-recomlst">
<div class="modules-module_sectionHeaderNoBrdr__j5DP2 ">
<h3 class="modules-module_sectionHeaderTitleLight__NrKIv">Trending Tickers</h3>
</div>
<ul role="listbox" class="modules-module_list__hi5kT">
<li role="option" title="Palo Alto Networks, Inc." tabindex="0" data-type="recommend" data-id="result-recommend-0" data-test="srch-trd-sym" data-index="0" data-pindex="0"
class="modules-module_linkItemLgNeoGreenLg__X88Wg modules-module_quoteItem__W8hI- modules-module_selectedBackground__6dnU7">
<div class="modules-module_quoteLeftCol__yV9LA modules-module_Ell__N1WPm modules-module_IbBox__NPYId">
<div class="modules-module_quoteCompanyInfo__ULJ7V modules-module_Ell__N1WPm">
<div class="modules-module_quoteSymbol__BGsyF">PANW</div>
<div class="modules-module_quoteCompanyName__JVZCM modules-module_Ell__N1WPm">Palo Alto Networks, Inc.</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="modules-module_quoteRightCol__iH6f-">
<div><span>Equity</span><span class="modules-module_quoteTypeExchange__omxiA">NMS</span></div>
</div>
</li>
<li role="option" title="Ethereum USD" tabindex="0" data-type="recommend" data-id="result-recommend-1" data-test="srch-trd-sym" data-index="1" data-pindex="1"
class="modules-module_linkItemLgNeoGreenLg__X88Wg modules-module_quoteItem__W8hI- ">
<div class="modules-module_quoteLeftCol__yV9LA modules-module_Ell__N1WPm modules-module_IbBox__NPYId">
<div class="modules-module_quoteCompanyInfo__ULJ7V modules-module_Ell__N1WPm">
<div class="modules-module_quoteSymbol__BGsyF">ETH-USD</div>
<div class="modules-module_quoteCompanyName__JVZCM modules-module_Ell__N1WPm">Ethereum USD</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="modules-module_quoteRightCol__iH6f-">
<div><span>Cryptocurrency</span><span class="modules-module_quoteTypeExchange__omxiA">CCC</span></div>
</div>
</li>
<li role="option" title="Hims & Hers Health, Inc." tabindex="0" data-type="recommend" data-id="result-recommend-2" data-test="srch-trd-sym" data-index="2" data-pindex="2"
class="modules-module_linkItemLgNeoGreenLg__X88Wg modules-module_quoteItem__W8hI- ">
<div class="modules-module_quoteLeftCol__yV9LA modules-module_Ell__N1WPm modules-module_IbBox__NPYId">
<div class="modules-module_quoteCompanyInfo__ULJ7V modules-module_Ell__N1WPm">
<div class="modules-module_quoteSymbol__BGsyF">HIMS</div>
<div class="modules-module_quoteCompanyName__JVZCM modules-module_Ell__N1WPm">Hims & Hers Health, Inc.</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="modules-module_quoteRightCol__iH6f-">
<div><span>Equity</span><span class="modules-module_quoteTypeExchange__omxiA">NYQ</span></div>
</div>
</li>
<li role="option" title="Lowe's Companies, Inc." tabindex="0" data-type="recommend" data-id="result-recommend-3" data-test="srch-trd-sym" data-index="3" data-pindex="3"
class="modules-module_linkItemLgNeoGreenLg__X88Wg modules-module_quoteItem__W8hI- ">
<div class="modules-module_quoteLeftCol__yV9LA modules-module_Ell__N1WPm modules-module_IbBox__NPYId">
<div class="modules-module_quoteCompanyInfo__ULJ7V modules-module_Ell__N1WPm">
<div class="modules-module_quoteSymbol__BGsyF">LOW</div>
<div class="modules-module_quoteCompanyName__JVZCM modules-module_Ell__N1WPm">Lowe's Companies, Inc.</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="modules-module_quoteRightCol__iH6f-">
<div><span>Equity</span><span class="modules-module_quoteTypeExchange__omxiA">NYQ</span></div>
</div>
</li>
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Yahoo Finance
THE COMING SOCIAL SECURITY FIGHT COULD BE 1983 ALL OVER AGAIN
WHAT A SUCCESSFUL REAGAN-ERA REFORM EFFORT — AND TWO FAILED ONES SINCE — SAYS
ABOUT HOW A LOOMING INSOLVENCY CRISIS MIGHT PLAY OUT.
Ben Werschkul
·Washington Correspondent
Sat, May 18, 2024, 2:24 PM EDT8 min read
Link Copied
1.2k
Political pressure will almost surely force Washington to shore up the Social
Security program before the social safety net program faces reduced monthly
checks as soon as 2033.
But the question is when.
Will lawmakers mobilize in the next few years, or will they wait until the
proverbial last minute — and pay increased costs because of that delay — before
finding a compromise?
The bad news for recipients is that recent history, not to mention rhetoric on
the 2024 campaign trail, suggests that procrastination may win out.
Washington has made two runs at reform in recent years — one under George W.
Bush and another under Barack Obama — but both came up short. That's led some to
look further back for lessons about how this coming standoff could play out.
Perhaps the most apt historical comparison is what happened in 1983. That was
the last time lawmakers successfully implemented large-scale reforms to stave
off insolvency in the program. What's also notable about that Reagan-era deal is
that it barely came together in time.
Reduced checks were looming in July of that year. The pact was signed into law
in April.
In a ceremony on the South Lawn, President Reagan signs a bill to avert Social
Security insolvency in 1983. Looking on are a range of figures, including Alan
Greenspan, far left, Senator Robert Dole, third from left, and House Speaker Tip
O'Neill, standing to Reagan's left. (Getty Images) (Bettmann via Getty Images)
"'83 was a crisis," noted Bipartisan Policy Center chief economist Jason
Fichtner, suggesting that perhaps a lesson from the episode is that "it seems to
take a crisis" before anything gets done.
Fichtner formerly worked at the Social Security Administration and also on
Capitol Hill. He is now trying to prod lawmakers to act, noting that delayed
action does more than increase worry among program participants. It also makes
it harder to solve the problem.
Washington's delays have already removed what Fichtner calls "one-and-done
options," with a steeper challenge remaining.
"I start seeing this now as a jigsaw puzzle," he said, with multiple tough pills
likely to be needed as part of any eventual solution.
A 2023 Brookings analysis pegged the changes required to right the system over
the coming decades as already "at least double" what lawmakers faced in 1983.
And a recent Social Security trustees report also underlined the unforgiving
math in the years ahead.
By 2033, Social Security may only be able to pay out 79% of benefits to seniors
unless lawmakers act. Lawmakers may be able to use a maneuver and delay things
until 2035, but there are few options after that beyond reforms.
Read more: Retirement planning: A step-by-step guide
WHAT HAPPENED IN 1983 — AND BIDEN'S ROLE
The US was in a similar position roughly 40 years ago. Like now, many in
Washington in the late 1970s and early 80s saw the problem of insolvency coming
in advance.
Story continues
It was prominent in the 1980 campaign. Then, after Ronald Reagan took office,
the issue was squarely on the desk of his chief of staff, James Baker.
President Ronald Reagan, left, and his Chief of Staff James Baker ride in the
presidential limousine in 1981. (David Hume Kennerly/Getty Images) (David Hume
Kennerly via Getty Images)
A recent biography of Baker unearthed how in 1981, even with insolvency just a
few years away, the first order of business was another round of brinkmanship.
The key early move — as recounted by Peter Baker and Susan Glasser in their
biography of "The Man Who Ran Washington" — was a White House plan from David
Stockman, Reagan's budget director.
Stockman proposed making the program solvent through the GOP preferred method of
cuts, identifying reductions of $100 billion. It would have slashed benefits
significantly.
"That quickly flopped," Baker and Glasser wrote, as Democrats attacked the plan
and even Republicans soon abandoned Reagan on this issue.
It was only then, in December 1981, when Reagan created a National Commission on
Social Security Reform. Alan Greenspan, who later in the decade became chairman
of the Federal Reserve, was chosen to head it.
The group was tasked with studying the issue for a year, conveniently putting
the topic on the back burner until after the 1982 elections.
Social Security Commission Chairman Alan Greenspan, left, shakes hands with Sen.
Charles Grassley of Iowa as Senate Finance Chairman Robert Dole looks on prior
to a hearing on Social Security's needs. (Getty Images) (Bettmann via Getty
Images)
By 1983 the issue was unavoidable. The Greenspan Commission finished its work —
with many final negotiations taking place at Baker's house — and produced a plan
that passed Congress and Reagan signed into law on April 20, 1983.
The legislation reshaped the program and staved off insolvency by increasing the
payroll tax rate, subjecting benefits to income taxes, and gradually increasing
the retirement age.
Read more: What is the retirement age for Social Security, 401(k), and IRA
withdrawals?
Joe Biden was also involved in the debate as a young Delaware Senator and helped
pass the package.
Biden discussed the experience in a 2007 NBC appearance in which he recounted
what Kansas Senator Robert Dole told lawmakers after they reached an agreement
on the politically explosive issue of gradually raising the retirement age.
Dole urged the negotiators that when opponents "attack us on this point, we'll
all stay together," likening it to stepping into a wobbly boat.
"That's the kind of leadership that is needed," Biden added at the time.
Then-Senator Joseph Biden of Delaware holds a news conference in Washington in
1983. (AP Photo/Ron Edmonds) (AP)
The question is whether that kind of leadership is present now from either Biden
or Trump.
Biden spent decades entertaining ideas that critics call benefit cuts — from
raising the retirement age to means testing — but he has notably taken them off
the table in 2024. Trump, meanwhile, briefly floated — before backing away from
— the idea of entitlement program "cutting."
In any case, both 2024 candidates are now in lockstep that any benefit cuts are
off the table. It's a fact that leads figures like Jason Fichtner to be
skeptical of any immediate-term prospects for wide-ranging negotiations needed
to tackle the problem.
He said he was once cautiously optimistic that Biden might tackle the problem,
but now the president may be "just another politician who kicks the can down the
road. And President Trump is doing the exact same thing."
The bottom line, he said, is that it's possible "we're five years away at least
from having a conversation."
CAUTIONARY TALES FROM TWO EFFORTS THAT CAME UP SHORT
Washington has also tried to reform the program twice in more recent history but
came up short both times.
George W. Bush made the "partial privatization" of the program a top priority in
2005.
It ran into a wall of opposition, with Democrats opposed from the beginning and
Republicans eventually backing away. Many pushed back at the concept of
retirement benefits being subject to the whims of the stock market and also
noted the idea might not help the looming insolvency.
That unsuccessful effort came up at a recent Social Security symposium in
Washington.
Andrew Biggs, who saw the effort up close as he worked on Bush's National
Economic Council, reflected that "one of the lessons from the Bush reforms,
which you can now see, is that you don't get these chances very often."
President George W. Bush arrives at a roundtable discussion of Social Security
Texas in 2005. (JIM WATSON/AFP via Getty Images) (JIM WATSON via Getty Images)
Washington tried again in 2011 during the Obama-era negotiations for a "grand
bargain" to reset the nation's fiscal path.
Biden, then vice president, was center stage as the administration's point
person in talks with then-House Speaker John Boehner.
That effort also fell short — largely because of GOP opposition to tax increases
— but not before Biden and the Democratic side of the table put possible benefit
cuts in the form of smaller cost-of-living adjustments on the table.
And as recently as a 2018 event, Biden appeared open to a mix of solutions to
shore up the program: increased taxes as well as benefit cuts.
In brief comments that year at the Brookings Institution that largely focused on
tax increases, Biden seemed to invoke the ideas of means testing — decreasing
benefits for the wealthy to save money — by telling the audience: "I don't know
a whole lot of people in the top one-tenth of 1 percent or the top 1 percent who
are relying on Social Security when they retire."
But now, just a few years later, Biden says benefits cuts are a nonstarter. And
he's proven eager to pressure Republicans on the issue, charging nearly every
week that Republicans will slash the program as the 2024 campaign has heated up.
President Joe Biden discusses Social Security and Medicare in Tampa, Florida in
2023. (Paul Hennessy/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images) (Anadolu via Getty Images)
At the end of the day, the worry among many is that political divides are too
deep at the moment, even as some figures on Capitol Hill push for action sooner.
As for what savers should do in the meantime, Biggs had some advice during a
recent Yahoo Finance Live appearance.
"If I were somebody saving for retirement, and I am, I would save a little bit
more today," he said, "because you don't know exactly how the government is
going to resolve that funding gap 10 years from now."
Ben Werschkul is Washington correspondent for Yahoo Finance.
Click here for politics news related to business and money
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* THE CRYPTO INDUSTRY IS TRYING TO ELECT POLITICAL ALLIES. THE STAKES COULDN’T
BE HIGHER.
Coinbase, Kraken and others are fighting for survival after a regulatory
crackdown.
The Wall Street Journal•2h ago
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